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Libya Press
Political analyst Senussi Ismail has affirmed that the upcoming meeting between heads of Libya's three main political bodies comes amid renewed regional and international momentum to break the protracted political deadlock.
In statements to Al-Masar television monitored by Alsaaa24, Ismail outlined how the American initiative launched in Libya and the United Nations-led track can work in tandem rather than compete. His analysis arrives as Libya enters a potentially decisive phase of internationally backed reconciliation.
Ismail noted that regional actors, particularly Egypt and Turkey, are actively pushing to revive consensus between the divided political bodies. This push comes amid growing international recognition that Libya's prolonged instability continues to affect security and economic conditions across North Africa.
The American initiative, often referred to as the "Bouls track," has already launched across several parallel dimensions including a development agreement and military coordination that could pave the way for unified defense institutions, Ismail explained.
According to Ismail, the United Nations initially expressed reservations about tracks running parallel to the official UN-led process. However, he noted a shift in approach, with growing recognition that the "structured dialogue" mechanism currently led by UN envoy Stephanie Khoury could produce tangible outcomes addressing core contentious issues.
Ismail stressed that the objective is not to impose external solutions but to build a "Libyan-Libyan" consensus. He recalled that in Geneva, initial consensus saw agreement on forming a Presidential Council headed by Aguila Saleh alongside a government led by Fathi Bashagha, a formula later abandoned under unclear circumstances.
The analyst offered a nuanced distinction, arguing the current path should not be described as a "settlement" because that term relates to elected bodies. Instead, he characterized it as a "consensus between main active parties" to form a unified interim government leading a transitional period under the UN roadmap.
Ismail expressed concern that some parties still fear a repeat of the Geneva experience where initial agreements collapsed. He added that pressure was applied to the US administration to overcome procedural issues from earlier dialogues in Tunis and Geneva.
Addressing the relationship between international tracks, Ismail rejected the notion of contradiction. "I see no conflict between the American and international initiatives," he said. "There is clear potential for integration, particularly on economic and military files such as public spending agreements and security coordination."
The American vision under the Bouls track seeks to prepare the ground for Libyans to regain political decision-making and reduce foreign interference. The US views the multiplicity of international influences in Libya as a potential threat to its interests, motivating Washington to support the UN track.
Ismail stressed that any future government formula must rest on consensus between the House of Representatives and the High Council of State. He noted that High Council of State head Mohamed Takala faces complex internal equations related to his council's representation and political balances.
The proposed path should involve all main active forces from the west, east, and south of Libya, allowing formation of an executive body reflecting this balance. Such a formula could provide a practical entry point toward organizing the presidential and parliamentary elections Libyans have long demanded.
Ismail acknowledged that current agreements on public spending represent a transitional step but do not substitute for deeper outcomes from the structured dialogue, particularly regarding wealth distribution and the future of Libya's economy.
The analyst observed that the UN mission's recent visits to Libyan cities, including Benghazi, reflect repositioning amid accelerating regional and international initiatives, pushing political bodies to seek solutions to avoid marginalization.
Despite the complexities, Ismail concluded that the current path could open the door to reactivating the Libyan political agreement and its mechanisms. "The ultimate goal is to restore Libyan decision-making and achieve stability through internal consensus supported by regional and international understandings."
— Libya Press / Politics Desk