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Libya Press
The world's water crisis has escalated into a transnational emergency reaching southern Europe, placing Libya at the epicenter of an existential challenge. The United Nations reports 2.4 billion people now live in water-stressed countries. The Mediterranean basin is warming 20% faster than the global average — a trend directly threatening Libya's fragile water security.
Libya, where 95% of land is desert, has relied on the Great Man-Made River Project (GMRP), one of the world's largest irrigation networks. But aging infrastructure, political fragmentation, and dwindling aquifer reserves have pushed the country toward a water emergency demanding sustainable intervention.
Southern Europe — Spain, Italy, Greece, and Cyprus — recorded its worst drought in over 500 years in 2025, according to a study in Nature Geoscience. Reservoir levels dropped below 30% across Sicily and Andalusia. A European Commission report in March 2026 warned that water insecurity in North Africa directly impacts migration patterns, energy trade, and regional stability. Libya sits at this intersection: with 1,770 km of coastline and a population concentrated on the coast, it faces pressures from all sides.
Libya's renewable water resources are estimated at just 600 million cubic meters annually — under 100 cubic meters per capita, far below the 1,000 threshold defining water scarcity. The country depends on fossil groundwater from the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System, tapped by the GMRP since 1991. Researchers at the University of Tripoli estimate that at current extraction rates, the aquifer could face significant depletion within 50 years.
Infrastructure losses compound the crisis. During past conflicts, pipelines and pumping stations suffered damage. In 2025, the Ministry of Water Resources reported 40% of treated water is lost to leaks and unauthorized connections. Urbanization has increased demand by 3.5% annually, straining an already struggling system.
Libya's average temperature has risen by 1.6°C since the pre-industrial era — outpacing the global 1.2°C average. Rainfall has decreased by 12% over three decades, with IPCC projections indicating a further 15–20% decline by 2050. Agriculture, consuming 83% of Libya's water, has been hit hardest. Wheat yields in the Jebel Nafusa region dropped 30% since 2018. Libyan agronomists warn that without a shift to drought-resistant crops and efficient irrigation, food imports — already at 75% — will exceed 90% within a decade.
Libya operates 20 desalination plants along its coast with a combined capacity of 600,000 cubic meters per day. Most operate below 50% capacity due to maintenance issues, fuel shortages, and funding gaps. The 2025 budget allocated only 120 million Libyan dinars to water infrastructure — described by experts as "grossly insufficient" given that a single medium-sized plant requires 50–80 million dinars annually to operate. The European Investment Bank has offered technical assistance, but political instability has delayed progress.
The FAO recommends Libya adopt an Integrated Water Resource Management (IWRM) framework: modernizing irrigation, implementing tariff reforms to reduce waste, investing in wastewater treatment, and strengthening the General Water Authority's regulatory role. In April 2026, the Government of National Unity announced a partnership with the Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development to rehabilitate networks in Tripoli, Benghazi, and Misrata. A national water council was proposed to coordinate policy between eastern and western administrations.
Libya's water crisis is not a future threat — it is a present emergency. Water scarcity does not respect borders or political divisions. Libya's ability to manage its water resources sustainably will define its resilience for decades to come.
— Libya Press / Politics Desk