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Libya Press
Trade between Libya and France has fallen by 32.1% by the end of May 2026, reaching just €954 million, according to French customs data on foreign trade. The sharp decline marks one of the steepest contractions in bilateral economic relations between the two countries in recent years.
French imports from Libya recorded an even steeper drop of 39.5%, falling to €720 million. The primary driver was a dramatic reduction in supplies of natural energy resources and other extractive industry products, which declined by 40.3% year-on-year.
Libya's economy remains heavily dependent on oil and gas exports, which account for over 95% of government revenue and the vast majority of export earnings. The sharp downturn in energy shipments to France signals ongoing instability in Libya's hydrocarbon sector.
French customs data indicates that the decline in extractive industry products — encompassing crude oil, natural gas, and refined petroleum — was the single largest factor behind the overall trade contraction. Libya's oil production has faced repeated disruptions due to political infighting, port closures, and maintenance issues at key fields.
French exports to Libya did not escape the downturn. While French sales to the Libyan market were valued at approximately €234 million during the period, this figure also reflected weaker demand from a Libyan economy struggling with currency instability and delayed reconstruction projects.
The overall trade imbalance remains heavily in Libya's favor, as French imports of Libyan energy have historically outweighed exports of French goods and services. However, the narrowing gap this year is driven by contraction rather than growth — a concerning signal for both economies.
Libya's total foreign trade has been volatile throughout 2025 and into 2026. The country's economy, with a GDP of approximately $48.5 billion, remains dwarfed by France's $3.16 trillion economy, ranking 95th and 7th globally respectively according to comparative economic data.
European Union countries collectively represent Libya's largest trading bloc, with Italy, Germany, and France traditionally leading as top importers of Libyan crude. The 32% drop in Libya-France trade is consistent with broader trends affecting Libyan exports to Europe, as competition from other energy suppliers and internal production challenges mount.
The decline in trade with France directly impacts Libya's foreign currency reserves and government budget. Each percentage point drop in energy exports translates into millions of dollars in lost revenue for a cash-strapped state already struggling to pay public sector salaries and fund basic services.
French customs data serves as a reliable benchmark for tracking Libya's export performance, as France is one of the few European nations that publishes detailed monthly trade breakdowns by partner country. The 40.3% collapse in energy-related shipments raises urgent questions about Libya's ability to maintain production levels and meet existing contractual obligations to European buyers.
Economists tracking Libya-France trade relations point to political stability as the single most important variable for any recovery. Until Libya resolves its internal institutional disputes and secures consistent production at major oil fields, the downward trend in bilateral trade is likely to continue.
The €954 million figure for the first five months of 2026 projects to an annualized total of roughly €2.3 billion — well below the historical average of €3.5–4 billion seen in more stable years. Without meaningful progress on the political front, trade volumes may struggle to regain lost ground in the second half of the year.
— Libya Press / Economy Desk